fall client appreciation october 2019
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This month, Jason Weaver discusses China slowdown, global recession and negative interest rates. China has been the single largest contributor of economic growth over the past several years. Currently, their economic data is pointing to a significant slowdown. Historically, 3% was used as a threshold for a global recession. Bloomberg’s global GDP tracker shows that expansion has slowed about a 2.2% growth in the third quarter.
This month, Jason Weaver discusses economic indicators, the Federal Reserve toolbox, GDP and the consumer.
This month Jason Weaver discusses the bond sectors, consumer confidence and inverted yield curve. There are various bond cycles. here are: US Government Bonds including treasury, TIPs and agency. Mortage bonds include Pass-Thru, CMO and ARMs. Credit bonds include US Corporate, Asset Backed, Convertible, Municipal and Inflation Protected.
$1 Million sounds like a lot, doesn’t it? That is because it is. That many one dollar bills tacked on top of one another would reach 358 feet tall. or the height of a 35 story building. It is a lot of money. However, it does not buy what it used to.
This month Jason Weaver discusses the Fed Policy, inflation components and asset class correlation. The Fed has been the primary driver of asset prices in 2019. The basic mandate is price stability (measured in inflation) and full employment. So, what is going on with the Fed? If you look back to July of 2018, the economy was doing very well. Inflation moved up to about 2.5-3.5% by October.
This month, Jason Weaver discusses demographics, GDP and debt levels. He also gives an update on the business cycle. If you look at real GDP in the United States, the real GDP is net of inflation. This peaked around the 70's and 80's, with the baby boom generation.
Weaver Consulting Group is a local, family owned, Registered Investment Advisory practice in Huntington Beach, California. We have been providing our expertise and sharing our experiences for the last 22 years.